All or Nothing: Why Extreme Investing Can Cost You Big

Between 2020 and 2024, the stock market was everyone’s favorite topic.
Every dinner table, every WhatsApp chat, every news headline revolved around one message: “If you’re not investing, you’re missing out.”

Then came 2025. The excitement faded, the markets slowed down, and the same investors who couldn’t stop checking their portfolios suddenly decided they wanted nothing to do with equities. Overnight, enthusiasm turned to disappointment.

So what changed?
Not the markets — just investor behavior.


The All or Nothing Trap

Many investors behave like children in a toy store. They either want everything or nothing.
When markets soar, they rush to invest every rupee they can find. When the market dips, they panic and pull everything out.

This all-in or all-out approach might sound bold, but it’s often one of the worst habits an investor can develop.
It replaces discipline with drama and patience with panic.

According to Manu Jain, Co-founder of Value Metrics Technologies, this emotional pattern is a dangerous loop that hurts long-term returns. Successful investing is about balance, not extremes.


Markets Reward Discipline, Not Emotion

The truth is simple. Markets don’t move in straight lines.
They rise, they fall, and sometimes they do both in a single week.

No one can predict every twist. Crashes, recoveries, and surprises are all part of the journey. The global financial crisis, the tech bubble, the Harshad Mehta scam, and the Covid crash — none of these came with a warning bell.

When investors exit completely during tough times, they usually miss the rebound that follows. The regret of missing out often pushes them to re-enter too late, creating a costly cycle of fear and FOMO.

The better strategy is to stay invested, stay diversified, and stay calm.


Think in Probabilities, Not Predictions

Too many investors treat the stock market like a fixed deposit. They expect fixed returns every year and are shocked when that doesn’t happen.

Equity investing doesn’t work that way. It is based on probabilities, not promises. Instead of assuming a guaranteed outcome, investors should think in ranges.

For example:
“If things go well, my return could be 12 to 14 percent. If not, I might still earn slightly above inflation.”

This shift from certainty to probability allows investors to stay rational even when markets fluctuate. It removes the need to chase perfection and replaces it with confidence in long-term results.


Volatility Is Not the Villain

The reason equity can deliver higher long-term returns is because it comes with volatility. The ups and downs are not a flaw — they are the price of long-term growth.

If the market offered 12 percent returns every year without any fluctuation, it would be no different from a savings product. The reward exists precisely because of the risk. Understanding this truth is what separates investors from speculators.


The Secret Sauce: Position Sizing

Even when markets look attractive, going all in is rarely a good idea. The smarter approach is called position sizing — knowing how much to invest at a time. Warren Buffett once said that wealth is created when crisis, cash, and courage meet.
But in reality, few investors manage to act courageously during a crisis. Most panic instead. Manu Jain offers a more practical approach: Confusion, Clarity, Conviction.

  • Confusion: The best time to invest. Prices are fair, and emotions are low.

  • Clarity: When everyone feels optimistic, prices are often expensive.

  • Conviction: The belief that clarity will return and markets will recover.

In other words, don’t wait for perfect certainty to invest. By the time it arrives, the opportunity is gone.


Building a Durable Portfolio

A strong portfolio is like a well-balanced meal. It needs the right mix, not an overdose of one ingredient. Here are three principles every investor should follow:

  1. Time: The longer you stay invested, the better your odds of success.

  2. Diversification: Spread investments across asset classes and sectors to reduce risk.

  3. Discipline: Stick to your plan, especially when emotions run high.

Think of investing as a game of skill, not luck. Even the best hand can lose sometimes. The goal is to stay in the game long enough to win over time.


Practical Habits That Work

  • Follow asset allocation. Adjust exposure to equities based on market conditions, not gut feelings.

  • Separate needs. Keep emergency funds apart from investment capital.

  • Use market moods wisely. When valuations are low, hold off on big purchases and stay invested. When valuations are high, take some profits and enjoy your rewards.

  • Invest regularly. Even if you buy at market peaks, consistent investing smooths out volatility and protects long-term growth.


The Bottom Line

Investing is not about timing the market but about spending time in the market.
The goal isn’t to predict every turn — it’s to stay the course.

All-or-nothing behavior turns wealth creation into a guessing game.
Balanced, disciplined investing turns it into a journey of steady growth.

Because in the end, successful investors are not those who panic first or predict best — but those who stay patient long enough to let time do its work.

Fixed Deposits: Safe, Sound, or Silently Leaking Your Wealth?

I recently came across an interesting headline — bank fixed deposits have hit new highs this year. Despite all the modern investment options around, people still love their good old FDs. It made me pause and think:
Are fixed deposits really serving your best interest? Are they safe? Or could they be quietly eroding your wealth?

Let’s find out.


The FD Obsession: A Habit from the Past

To understand our love affair with fixed deposits, let’s rewind a few decades.

Post-independence India had limited investment avenues. There were no mutual funds, no fancy SIPs, and no online trading apps. So people parked their money where it felt safe — in bank FDs.

For years, this was the only savings instrument people trusted. In fact, during the 1980s, banks offered interest rates as high as 14–15%. Imagine getting that today — you’d run to the bank with a smile!

But those high rates existed for a reason — inflation was equally high. So while you earned more, prices were also rising rapidly. Over time, inflation cooled, FD rates dropped, and new options like mutual funds entered the picture. But our faith in FDs remained unshaken.


Why Do People Still Love FDs?

Let’s be honest — fixed deposits feel safe.
You park your money, you know the returns, and you can sleep peacefully at night. The main reasons people choose FDs are:

  1. Safety: You don’t want your hard-earned money vanishing with a dodgy borrower.

  2. Liquidity: You can withdraw or take a loan against it easily.

  3. Protection from inflation: You expect the interest to at least beat the rise in prices.

Fair enough. But do FDs really deliver on these promises today? Let’s see.


1. The Safety Myth

Your money in a large, well-regulated bank is generally safe, thanks to strict RBI supervision.
But, and this is a big one. safe does not mean guaranteed.

Smaller cooperative banks, for instance, have faced crises year after year. And here’s the kicker: your deposits are insured only up to ₹5 lakh. That’s all you’d get back if your bank collapses. So yes, choose your bank wisely. “Too big to fail” may sound cliché, but it holds true here.


2. Liquidity: The FD’s Strongest Point

Here’s where FDs shine.
Need quick cash? You can break your deposit or take an overdraft against it. No paperwork circus. No drama. Liquidity is one area where FDs still score full marks.


3. Inflation and Purchasing Power: The Silent Killer

This one’s tricky.
If inflation is 5% and your FD gives you 6%, you think you’re safe — until tax walks in and takes its share.

Let’s do the math:

  • You earn 6% on ₹100 — that’s ₹6.

  • You pay 30% tax — that’s ₹2 gone.

  • You’re left with ₹4, while prices went up by ₹5.

Congratulations, your “safe” FD just made you poorer.
This is the hidden danger; FDs may protect your principal, but not your purchasing power.


The Hidden Risks You Didn’t See Coming

a) Reinvestment Risk

Once your FD matures, you reinvest at the new rate — which could be lower.
So if you locked in at 7% today, and next year rates fall to 5%, your future income drops. That’s reinvestment risk — the silent income killer.

b) Taxation Risk

FDs are taxed every year as “income.” You can’t defer it.
Whether you withdraw or not, the interest gets added to your annual income. High tax bracket? You lose a bigger bite of your return.

For NRIs, the story is slightly different — interest on NRE FDs may be tax-free in India, but not necessarily abroad. Countries like the US, UK, and Canada tax global income. And once you return to India and become a resident, even your NRE FDs become taxable.

So much for “safe” money.


Should You Ditch FDs Altogether?

Not necessarily.
FDs still have their place — if you’re in a low or nil tax bracket, or if you simply can’t sleep without one. But if you’re in the 30% bracket, overloading on FDs is like trying to fill a leaking bucket — you’ll keep pouring, but the water level never rises.


Smarter Alternatives Worth Considering

  1. Debt Mutual Funds:
    They work like FDs but offer tax efficiency and flexibility. You pay tax only when you redeem — not yearly. Some even yield better returns.

  2. Hybrid Mutual Funds:
    A mix of debt and equity, ideal for conservative investors who want safety with a little growth.

  3. Guaranteed Return Insurance Plans:
    These can lock in returns for a long period and help manage taxes and reinvestment risks. But handle with care — always plan with professional advice.


Final Thoughts

Fixed deposits are familiar, simple, and comforting, but they aren’t perfect.
They do one job well: protecting your capital. But in today’s world of rising inflation and higher taxes, that alone isn’t enough.

Use FDs for short-term parking or emergency funds. For long-term goals, explore smarter, tax-efficient options. Because sometimes, playing it too safe can actually cost you the most.

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