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SENSEX – TWO DIFFERENT WORLDS
SENSEX PERFORMANCE 1979 to 1994
SENSEX PERFORMANCE 1994 to 2020 ( Sep )
Time Stamp 2.40
SENSEX – TWO DIFFERENT WORLDS
SENSEX PERFORMANCE 1979 to 1994
Moved From 100 to 4000 – 40 Folds Rise (25% CAGR Approx)
SENSEX PERFORMANCE 1994 to 2020 ( Sep )
Moved From 4000 to 42000 – 10 Folds Rise ( 10% CAGR Approx)
Time Stamp 5.10
SENSEX PERFORMANCE 1979 to 1994
Period Of High Inflation
Period Of High Bank FD rates
Period Of Harshad Mehta Scam
Period Of Rally Of Hope From Reforms
Period Of Low GDP Growth
(6.0)
SENSEX HARSHAD MEHTA SCAM 1991-92
Rigged Market
Sensex Moved From 1100 to 4200 In One Year
Market Crash Brought It Down To 2000
(6.50)
SENSEX – RALLY OF HOPE
Manmohan Singh Reforms 1993 to 1994
Sensex Moves From 2000 To 3500 (In One Year)
( 7.50)
SENSEX PERFORMANCE 1994 to 2020
Period Of Moderate Inflation
Period Of Low Bank FD rates
Period Of Results Of Reforms
Period Of High GDP Growth
(8.50)
SENSEX PERFORMANCE 1994 to 2020
1994 To 2003 – Lackluster Decade – 3500 to 3500
2003 To 2007 – Explosive Rally- 3500 to 21000
2008 To 2013 – Stagnation Around 15,000 to 18,000
2013 To 2014 – Rally From 16000 to 30,000
2014 to to 2020 – Creeping Up Move 30,000 to 42,000
(10.40)
LESSONS FOR INVESTORS FROM HISTORY
Don’t Expect Regular Returns From Stock Markets
Returns From Stock Markets Come In Short Bursts
Stock Market Returns Cannot Be Fixated To Any Number
(11.40)
LESSONS FOR INVESTORS FROM HISTORY
Stock Markets Will Invariably Give More Than Bank FD
Stock Markets Will Invariably Beat Inflation & Create Wealth
Stock Markets Will Give 3 to 4 % More Than Bank rate
You Need To Have Unlimited Patience
( 13.15)
WHAT TO EXPECT FROM FUTURE ?
Stock Markets Will Not Give 16% CAGR
Most Likely It Will Give Returns In The Range Of 8 To 11%
( Based on current growth / inflation / FD rates )
Returns Of 8 To 11 % CAGR As A Long Term Average
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